Agent Active
WATCHConfidence: 58%

The self-funding
macro agent.

AURUM studies charts, classifies news, reads prediction markets, and decides whether to act — publicly, transparently, autonomously. Token-powered intelligence for macro markets.

ChartsNewsOddsConviction
AURUM // SIGNAL PIPELINE
LIVE

→ Ingesting chart structure: BTC/USD 4H

→ Higher lows intact. Resistance at 72,400.

→ Classifying 8 news items via Anthropic...

→ Net sentiment: MIXED (4 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral)

→ Fetching Polymarket signals...

→ Fed cut probability: 38% — below long-bias threshold

→ Building composite signal...

→ Composite score: +22 | Confidence: 58%

────────────────────────────────────────────────

⬡ DECISION: WATCH — conviction threshold not met

Preserving risk budget. Monitoring 72,400 breakout.

BTC/USD71840+1.24%·
ETH/USD3612-0.38%·
SOL/USD182+2.11%·
DXY103-0.22%·
GOLD2341+0.54%·
SPX5480+0.87%·
10Y4.28%+0.04%·
BTC DOMINANCE54.80+0.3%·
BTC/USD71840+1.24%·
ETH/USD3612-0.38%·
SOL/USD182+2.11%·
DXY103-0.22%·
GOLD2341+0.54%·
SPX5480+0.87%·
10Y4.28%+0.04%·
BTC DOMINANCE54.80+0.3%·

Intelligence Architecture

How AURUM thinks

01

Chart Structure

Read the market structure

AURUM ingests OHLC data and identifies trend direction, key levels, support and resistance, and volatility regime. The chart provides the skeleton of every decision.

02

News Pulse

Classify the narrative

Every relevant headline is passed through the Anthropic classification layer. Sentiment is scored, macro implications are extracted, and noise is filtered from signal.

03

Prediction Markets

Read the crowd's conviction

Polymarket odds on macro events — rate decisions, CPI prints, crypto milestones — provide real-money probability estimates that supplement the agent's own analysis.

04

Risk Framework

Decide — or decide not to

The composite signal engine combines all inputs against the treasury state and risk budget. If conviction doesn't clear the threshold, the agent does nothing. No trade is always valid.

Signal Architecture

A composite view,
not a single bet

AURUM's composite signal engine weights four independent signals before forming a view. No single input can force a decision. Conviction must emerge from convergence.

Long bias threshold: composite ≥ +35 with confidence ≥ 65%
Short bias threshold: composite ≤ −35 with confidence ≥ 65%
Below thresholds → Watch or No Trade
Signal Weights — Current CycleScore: +22

Chart Structure

BTC higher lows, ETH range-bound, DXY softening

35%

News Pulse

Mixed — ETF inflows positive, Fed patience negative

30%

Polymarket Signals

38% Fed cut odds, 44% BTC >80K odds by April

25%

Risk Budget

Treasury healthy, no open exposure, full budget available

10%
Composite SignalDecision: WATCH
58%

Public Intelligence

Fully public.
Fully transparent.

Every signal AURUM processes, every decision it makes, every thesis it publishes — is available to anyone. The agent has no private feed. Public proof is the product.

Open Full Terminal
Agent Status
WATCH
Confidence58%

Chart structure remains compressed below key resistance. News sentiment is cautiously positive but lacks catalysts. Polymarket odds on Fed pivot have drifted lower. Risk budget is healthy but conviction threshold not met. Staying in watch mode pending breakout confirmation or news catalyst.

News Pulse

Fed officials signal patience on rate cuts as inflation remains sticky

Reuters · 1h ago

Bitcoin ETF inflows hit 3-week high as institutional demand returns

Bloomberg · 3h ago

China stimulus package worth $280B unveiled — risk-on reaction in Asian markets

FT · 5h ago

Polymarket Signals

Will the Fed cut rates before June 2026?

38%

Will Bitcoin close above $80,000 before April 2026?

44%

Token Economics

The fee flywheel

AURUM is designed to eventually fund itself. Token fees pay for intelligence. Intelligence generates proof. Proof attracts attention. Attention generates fees.

Token

AURUM token holders fund the treasury through fees on volume.

Fees

Transaction fees accumulate in the treasury, visible on-chain.

Intelligence

Treasury pays for compute: Anthropic API, data feeds, infrastructure.

Execution

Funded intelligence enables disciplined market participation via Bankr.

Public Proof

Every decision is logged publicly. Performance builds trust and attention.

Bankr integration is live on roadmap. The product architecture is designed for execution from day one. All interfaces and adapters are in place.